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Graeme and Veldra's avatar

Beginning to look forward to seeing your name in the inbox!

Since we are not Zimbabwean we cannot be certain but are prepared to bet that an extremely high % of those whose net worth is tied to property is an investment in their own residence. Which means that if they approach a bank for a loan to fund a business venture the bank's are likely to want to security and usually that will then be provided by using the property (meaning that if the business fails the residential home is also at risk. And sales in execution notoriously deliver returns below the actual worth of the property. In SA a measure has been introduced to reduce the incidence of a debtor's residential property being sold at"bargain basement" prices.

But the real answer lies in the development of a true venture capital market and approach to financing (which doesn't exist in SA either). Venture Capital investors know that around 7/10 of investments will fail, 2 may come close to breaking even, and only 1 may earn enough to make up for all the losses incurred across the other investments.

South African's largely have a risk averse approach. In the USA and Canada investors seem more willing to take a chance - but then because they have numbers on their side they also tend

to make smaller individual investment but across many counters.

Keep well - looking forward to next Thursday

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Tinashe Mukogo's avatar

Thanks! We still need to get that appointment set up by the way!

Fully agree I think. There is a need for more capital. Venture Capital is great although wouldn't advocate for the US model. I think our markets not mature enough.

It needs to be more patient.

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Paul Charumbira's avatar

The odd thing is, with all this real estate development going on, the CBD has been largely abandoned with empty high rise office buildings.

Thanks to our vendor economy of course.

I wonder if all these malls and cluster homes will actually have high occupancy rates in a few years. Given the rapid pace of development. And rising unemployment.

Have we all noticed that companies are reducing their head counts.

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Denford Chatendeuka's avatar

Very insightful article Tinashe, Thank you.Can we look at another perspective that reads the quantum of investment in real estate is a fair representation of its demand and function aspect.What is lacking is how that quantum figure ought to be leveraged through financial instruments to free up the "dead" capital as the bulk of real estate in Zim is not leveraged.Growing the financial tools that leverages this "dead" capital will get us relatively compare favourably with other countries like SA.

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Tinashe Mukogo's avatar

That's a good point probably worth another deep dive.

Why do you think that most property is not leveraged?

Is it banks not wanting to lend even when there is security?

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Paul Charumbira's avatar

Most banks aren't willing to give loans exceeding a 5 year tenure. Suppose they fear another conversation.

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Eve M's avatar

Thanks Tinashe, like the user above said, I too always look forward to seeing your posts.

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